This IDC study provides IDC’s top 10 predictions for the 2016 Smart City agenda. It provides a springboard for thinking about the future within the context of a structured set of predictions tied to current and next budget cycles. The IDC Smart City team outlines key recommendations for government leaders who want to understand trends impacting IT investments and determine the best course for strategic planning.
According to Ruthbea Yesner Clarke, research director, Smart Cities Strategies
These predictions are designed to provide the strategic context to enable government leaders – from mayors to city council members to CIOs and innovation offices – to transform their organizations through the application of technology to real business challenges. This document offers the Smart City team’s collective understanding of major urban transitions and their impact on strategic planning.
The 10 Predictions
Prediction 1: By 2019, Countries with 50% of Their Midsize to Large Cities in the Repeatable Stage or Higher of Smart City Maturity Will Be More Successful in Country Digitization Efforts
Prediction 2: By 2017, 75% of Cities Worldwide Will Fail to Take Full Advantage of Smart City Data and Digital Assets Due to a Lack of Process, Project Management, and Change Management Skills
Prediction 3: In 2018, Cities Will Spend 2x More with Partners That Are Committed to Open APIs, Sharing Data, and Long-Term Relationships as Demonstrated via a Sales Force That Can Talk Business Outcomes
Prediction 4: By 2019, 50% of Open Data Initiatives Will Evolve to Provide Both Free and Monetized Data Services as Cities Test Data Revenue Models and Seek to Justify Open Data Investments
Prediction 5: City IT Systems Are Attractive Cybertargets, and in 2017, at Least One Midsize to Large City Will Suffer a Cyberattack That Will Impact Its Ability to Effectively Function for One Day
Prediction 6: By 2018, 20% of Public Safety Agencies Will Test Cognitive Computing to Predict and Prevent Domestic, Mental Health, and Addiction Incidents, Drastically Reducing Service Requests
Prediction 7: By 2019, 30% of Urban Consumers Will Use Bots or Intelligent Assistants for Multimodal Route Planning to Manage Cost, Carbon Impact, and Other Travel Preferences
Prediction 8: In 2017, 20% of Cities Will Nudge Transit Behavior by Limiting Parking, Promoting EV and Car Sharing, and Investing in Mobile Payments, Navigation, and Violations Tracking Apps
Prediction 9: With 180 Million Global LED Street Light Conversions by 2019 and Spending of $80 Billion, Light Infrastructure Will Become the Key Smart City Platform for Connected IoT Devices
Prediction 10: By 2019, to Scale and Survive, One-Third of Civic Engagement App Companies Will Merge with or Be Acquired by Larger Companies as Part of a Smart City Platform Offering